Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services at Grayson College
Denison, TX · Public · Certificate
TradeSchoolWorth Score (Base Case)
53
Strong Growth
53
Base Case
50
Conservative
Earnings
$18,598/yr (8% vs median)
AI-Proof
Resilient (76% shielded)
Job Market
Very Large (145,700 openings/yr)
Future-Proof Earnings
Three scenarios modeling future earnings based on technology adoption rates and job market trends for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services graduates.
| Strong Growth Full Stability |
Base Case Moderate Changes |
Conservative Max Disruption |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $213K | $194K | $164K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 73.3x | 66.7x | 56.4x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 36.4x | 33.2x | 28.0x |
| Viable Career Paths | 8 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 8 of 8 |
| TradeSchoolWorth Score | 53 | 53 | 50 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as technology and market conditions evolve over time.
Program Tuition (In-State)
$2,910
Out-of-state: $5,850
Career Paths
Where Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services graduates typically work. Raw data — no blending. The scenarios above model how these factors interact. This field has roughly 145,700 combined openings per year.
| Career Path | Wage | Openings/yr | Growth | AI-Proof |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Personal service managers, all other | $61,340 | 2,100 | +6.5% | 48% |
| Makeup artists, theatrical and performance | $50,280 | 1,100 | +8.1% | 66% |
| First-line supervisors of personal service workers | $47,080 | 16,300 | +6.7% | 59% |
| Skincare specialists | $41,560 | 14,500 | +6.7% | 80% |
| Barbers | $38,960 | 8,400 | +4.1% | 84% |
| Hairdressers, hairstylists, and cosmetologists | $35,250 | 75,800 | +5.6% | 92% |
| Manicurists and pedicurists | $34,660 | 24,800 | +7.0% | 92% |
| Shampooers | $31,470 | 2,700 | +5.5% | 86% |
Compare & Explore
Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services Overview
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the TradeSchoolWorth Score for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services at Grayson College?
This program scores 53/100 in the Base Case scenario, factoring in earnings, AI resilience, job market size, and earnings multiple. The score ranges from 50 (conservative) to 53 (strong growth) depending on market conditions.
How AI-proof is a career in Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services?
We model three scenarios: Strong Growth (full career stability), Base Case (moderate changes), and Conservative (maximum disruption). In the base case, Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services graduates retain 8 of 8 viable career paths. 10-year earnings range from $163,982 (conservative) to $213,205 (strong growth).
How many job openings are there for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services graduates?
The career paths mapped to Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services have roughly 145,700 combined job openings per year nationally, making this a very large job market.
Is Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services at Grayson College worth it?
In the Base Case, this program earns 66.7x its tuition over 10 years. Even in the Conservative scenario, the multiple is 56.4x. The narrow spread between scenarios shows how stable trade careers are compared to desk jobs.
Data: U.S. Department of Education College Scorecard (earnings, debt), Bureau of Labor Statistics 2024-2034
(employment projections), OpenAI GPTs-are-GPTs research (AI task exposure), Felten et al. AIOE.
Scenarios model earnings resilience using AI exposure data and BLS job growth projections.
"Earnings Multiple" is total 10-year projected earnings divided by tuition — not a discounted financial ROI.
Last updated 2026.