Ground Transportation at Johnson County Community College
Overland Park, KS · Public · Certificate
TradeSchoolWorth Score (Base Case)
95
Optimistic
95
Base Case
93
Pessimistic
Earnings
$74,114/yr (79% vs median)
AI Risk
Low (14% exposed)
Job Market
Very Large (647,900 openings/yr)
How AI Changes the Outlook
Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Ground Transportation graduates.
| Optimistic No Disruption |
Base Case Gradual AI |
Pessimistic Aggressive AI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $766K | $731K | $694K |
| Earnings Multiple (In-State) | 328.9x | 313.9x | 297.9x |
| Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) | 139.9x | 133.5x | 126.7x |
| Viable Career Paths | 29 of 29 | 29 of 29 | 29 of 29 |
| TradeSchoolWorth Score | 95 | 95 | 93 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.
Program Tuition (In-State)
$2,328
Out-of-state: $5,472
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$76,270
3% growth from Year 1
Career Paths
Where Ground Transportation graduates typically work. Raw data — no blending. The scenarios above model how these factors interact. This field has roughly 647,900 combined openings per year.
| Career Path | Wage | Openings/yr | Growth | AI Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subway and streetcar operators | $84,830 | 900 | +3.4% | 41% |
| Locomotive engineers | $77,400 | 2,200 | +0.7% | 29% |
| Railroad conductors and yardmasters | $74,080 | 3,100 | +1.1% | 28% |
| Pile driver operators | $70,510 | 300 | +4.3% | 0% |
| Rail-track laying and maintenance equipment operators | $67,370 | 1,100 | +1.6% | 0% |
| Underground mining machine operators, all other | $67,220 | 400 | -6.1% | 0% |
| Crane and tower operators | $66,370 | 3,800 | +3.0% | 18% |
| Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators and locomotive firers | $65,480 | 1,000 | +1.0% | 17% |
Compare & Explore
Ground Transportation Overview
Ground Transportation at Other Schools
Other Majors at Johnson County Community College
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the TradeSchoolWorth Score for Ground Transportation at Johnson County Community College?
This program scores 95/100 in the Base Case scenario, factoring in earnings, AI disruption risk, job market size, and earnings multiple. The score ranges from 95 (optimistic) to 93 (pessimistic) depending on AI's impact.
How does AI affect Ground Transportation career prospects?
We model three scenarios: Optimistic (no disruption), Base Case (gradual AI adoption), and Pessimistic (aggressive AI displacement). In the base case, Ground Transportation graduates retain 29 of 29 viable career paths. 10-year earnings range from $693,526 (pessimistic) to $765,600 (optimistic).
How many job openings are there for Ground Transportation graduates?
The career paths mapped to Ground Transportation have roughly 647,900 combined job openings per year nationally, making this a very large job market.
Is Ground Transportation at Johnson County Community College worth it?
In the Base Case, this program earns 313.9x its tuition over 10 years. Even in the Pessimistic scenario, the multiple is 297.9x. The spread between scenarios tells you how sensitive this trade is to AI disruption.
Data: U.S. Department of Education College Scorecard (earnings, debt), Bureau of Labor Statistics 2024-2034
(employment projections), OpenAI GPTs-are-GPTs research (AI task exposure), Felten et al. AIOE.
Scenarios use a continuous weighting function combining AI exposure and BLS job growth projections.
"Earnings Multiple" is total 10-year projected earnings divided by tuition — not a discounted financial ROI.
Last updated 2026.