Dance at The Ailey School
New York, NY · Private nonprofit · Certificate
TradeSchoolWorth Score (Base Case)
27
Strong Growth
26
Base Case
24
Conservative
Earnings
$13,598/yr (0% vs median)
AI-Proof
AI-Proof (76% shielded)
Job Market
Medium (11,500 openings/yr)
Future-Proof Earnings
Three scenarios modeling future earnings based on technology adoption rates and job market trends for Dance graduates.
| Strong Growth Full Stability |
Base Case Moderate Changes |
Conservative Max Disruption |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-Year Earnings | $156K | $139K | $120K |
| Earnings Multiple | 11.0x | 9.8x | 8.4x |
| Viable Career Paths | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
| TradeSchoolWorth Score | 27 | 26 | 24 |
10-Year Earnings Projection
*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as technology and market conditions evolve over time.
Program Tuition
$14,235
Median Debt at Graduation
$13,898
12.3 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (4 Year)
$18,825
38% growth from Year 1
Career Paths
Where Dance graduates typically work. Raw data — no blending. The scenarios above model how these factors interact. This field has roughly 11,500 combined openings per year.
| Career Path | Wage | Openings/yr | Growth | AI-Proof |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Art, drama, and music teachers, postsecondary | $80,190 | 9,000 | +1.7% | 56% |
| Choreographers | $55,600 | 700 | +6.1% | 73% |
| Dancers | N/A | 1,800 | +4.5% | 98% |
Compare & Explore
Dance Overview
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the TradeSchoolWorth Score for Dance at The Ailey School?
This program scores 26/100 in the Base Case scenario, factoring in earnings, AI resilience, job market size, and earnings multiple. The score ranges from 24 (conservative) to 27 (strong growth) depending on market conditions.
How AI-proof is a career in Dance?
We model three scenarios: Strong Growth (full career stability), Base Case (moderate changes), and Conservative (maximum disruption). In the base case, Dance graduates retain 3 of 3 viable career paths. 10-year earnings range from $119,865 (conservative) to $155,887 (strong growth).
How many job openings are there for Dance graduates?
The career paths mapped to Dance have roughly 11,500 combined job openings per year nationally, making this a medium job market.
Is Dance at The Ailey School worth it?
In the Base Case, this program earns 9.8x its tuition over 10 years. Even in the Conservative scenario, the multiple is 8.4x. The narrow spread between scenarios shows how stable trade careers are compared to desk jobs.
Data: U.S. Department of Education College Scorecard (earnings, debt), Bureau of Labor Statistics 2024-2034
(employment projections), OpenAI GPTs-are-GPTs research (AI task exposure), Felten et al. AIOE.
Scenarios model earnings resilience using AI exposure data and BLS job growth projections.
"Earnings Multiple" is total 10-year projected earnings divided by tuition — not a discounted financial ROI.
Last updated 2026.